Crews Bank & Trust Blog | Samuel A. Kiburz, Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer (22)

Chart shows rolling returns of S & P 500 from 1926 to 2021. Each period of time is represented by a different color. 3 = blue, 10 = pink, 20 = red, 30 = green.

Rolling, Rolling, Rolling

Today's chart is from Ben Carlson’s “A Wealth of Common Sense” which shows the S&P 500’s rolling returns for 3, 10, 20, and 30 year periods going all..

the chart shows that the best and worst trading days are often very close

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Best and Worst Days are Close

Today’s Chart of the Day comes again from Vanguard. The best and worst trading days are often very close. Usually, when there is a large swing one..

from 1928 through 2021, there were more than 23,300 trading days in the U.S. stock market. Out of those, the 30 best trading days accounted for almost half of the market’s return.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

30 Days Equal Half The Return

Today’s chart comes from Vanguard. They wrote a great short article on the difficulties of market timing. In a nutshell, "from 1928 through 2021,..

No faces, but two people in collared button downs looking at paperwork

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Prediction for Year End

When asked to predict where the market will be at year end, here are my thoughts:

In the first bar chart, the data covers the impact of a 4% withdrawal rate. There is an emphasis put between the years 1963 - 1967 where the value dips. This emphasizes the point that there is just barely enough remaining to cover spending through 30 years. The second bar chart presents the 5% withdrawal rate. It shows both years with remaining wealth (green) and years of portfolio depletion (red). As mentioned in the article, there are 28 times that the value ended below zero.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

1% Makes a Difference

The two Charts of the Day are from Michael Kitces and show the value of a $100,000 portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds after 30 years with a 4% and..

chart shows that Fixed income exchange traded funds (aka ETFs) have taken in over $1 trillion in assets over the last seven years, and only had three months of outflows.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Fixed Income ETFs for the Win

Today’s chart comes from VettaFi. Fixed income exchange traded funds (aka ETFs) have taken in over $1 trillion in assets over the last seven years,..

Chart shows the weekly return for the S&P 500 so far in 2022. The weeks of March 18, May 27, and June 24 had 6%+ gains.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Hold On To Catch the Upside

Today's Chart of the Day is from S&P Global, and it shows the weekly returns of the S&P 500 year to date. Yes, cumulatively the market is down, but..

Since 1950, the average economic expansion lasts 67 months. The average recession, though painful, only lasts 11 months.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Recessions are Painful; Expansions are Powerful

This chart comes from the Visual Capitalist. Since 1950, the average economic expansion lasts 67 months. The average recession, though painful, only..

Chart illustrates the monthly total returns of mid-cap, small-cap, S&P composite 1500, and S&P 500 stocks spanning from December 1994 – December 2020.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Small- and Mid- vs. Large-Cap Stocks

As of today, small- and mid-cap stocks on a year-to-date basis are performing better than their large-cap counterparts by 3% and 2%, respectively...

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

The "Chiclets Chart"

One of our clients calls this the “Chiclets Chart” because of its resemblance to that classic brand of candy-coated chewing gum.

chart shows annual net flows into passive funds (in purple) vs. active funds (in orange), and their dominance for the last 11 years.

Chart of the Day Managing your Wealth

Active vs. Passive Funds

Today’s chart from Morningstar shows annual net flows into passive funds (in purple) vs. active funds (in orange), and their dominance for the last..

chart shows that from 1940 to 2015 life expectancy went up 15 years and the average years spent in retirement went from six to 37.

Chart of the Day

37 Years of Retirement

Today’s chart from BlackRock shows that from 1940 to 2015 life expectancy went up 15 years and the average years spent in retirement went from six to..

screen that represents numbers of the stock market

Market Update

May 2022 Market Update

Below are a couple of my thoughts on the market.

chart shows that eight companies make up half of the stock market’s 14% decline year to date

Chart of the Day

Top Heavy = Top Losses

This chart is from today’s Wall Street Journal. Because of their heavy weights in the S&P 500 index, eight companies make up half of the stock..

chart shows that the overall index is down 18% from all-time highs.

Chart of the Day

Diversification Saves in Down Markets

The Russell 3000 Index is made up of the largest 2,750 stocks in the United States.

Samuel A. Kiburz, Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer

Samuel serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer for the Crews family of banks. He manages the individual investment holdings of his clients, including individuals, families, foundations, and institutions throughout the State of Florida. Samuel has been involved in banking since 1996 and has more than 20 years experience working in wealth management.

Investments are not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, the bank, are not FDIC insured, not insured by any federal government agency, and are subject to investment risks, including possible loss of principal.

Rolling, Rolling, Rolling

Today's chart is from Ben Carlson’s “A Wealth of Common Sense” which shows the S&P 500’s rolling returns for 3, 10, 20, and 30 year periods going all the way back to 1926.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

07/19/22

Best and Worst Days are Close

Today’s Chart of the Day comes again from Vanguard. The best and worst trading days are often very close. Usually, when there is a large swing one way, more often than not, the next day swings in the opposite direction. This is why we often do not get too excited when it happens. In fact, when cash needs to be invested or raised for spending, these are usually great days to do so.

Vanguard proved this with today's chart.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

07/18/22

30 Days Equal Half The Return

Today’s chart comes from Vanguard. They wrote a great short article on the difficulties of market timing. In a nutshell, "from 1928 through 2021, there were more than 23,300 trading days in the U.S. stock market. Out of those, the 30 best trading days accounted for almost half of the market’s return."

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

07/15/22

Prediction for Year End

When asked to predict where the market will be at year end, here are my thoughts:

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

07/1/22

1% Makes a Difference

The two Charts of the Day are from Michael Kitces and show the value of a $100,000 portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds after 30 years with a 4% and 5% initial withdrawal rate. These comments come from Rich Emch, CFP^®, Senior Trust Officer.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

06/28/22

Fixed Income ETFs for the Win

Today’s chart comes from VettaFi. Fixed income exchange traded funds (aka ETFs) have taken in over $1 trillion in assets over the last seven years, and only had three months of outflows.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

06/27/22

Hold On To Catch the Upside

Today's Chart of the Day is from S&P Global, and it shows the weekly returns of the S&P 500 year to date. Yes, cumulatively the market is down, but if you happen to miss the three 6%+ weekly gains out of the last 26 weeks, your total return for the year could look a whole lot different.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

06/23/22

Recessions are Painful; Expansions are Powerful

This chart comes from the Visual Capitalist. Since 1950, the average economic expansion lasts 67 months. The average recession, though painful, only lasts 11 months.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

06/14/22

Small- and Mid- vs. Large-Cap Stocks

As of today, small- and mid-cap stocks on a year-to-date basis are performing better than their large-cap counterparts by 3% and 2%, respectively.

There is an ebb and flow but going all the way back to 1994 small- and mid-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks by an annual 0.66% and 1.49%, respectively. Financial theory supports, and so far this year it is also true, that when you add them to your portfolio they lower your risk due to the additional diversification.

Since this follows our motto of obtaining the “highest returns, for the least amount of risk,” we include small- and mid-cap stocks in all our portfolios.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

06/13/22

The "Chiclets Chart"

One of our clients calls this the “Chiclets Chart” because of its resemblance to that classic brand of candy-coated chewing gum.

Chart of the Day, Managing your Wealth

06/10/22

Active vs. Passive Funds

Today’s chart from Morningstar shows annual net flows into passive funds (in purple) vs. active funds (in orange), and their dominance for the last 11 years.

Chart of the Day

05/24/22

37 Years of Retirement

Today’s chart from BlackRock shows that from 1940 to 2015 life expectancy went up 15 years and the average years spent in retirement went from six to 37.

Market Update

05/23/22

May 2022 Market Update

Below are a couple of my thoughts on the market.

Chart of the Day

05/19/22

Top Heavy = Top Losses

This chart is from today’s Wall Street Journal. Because of their heavy weights in the S&P 500 index, eight companies make up half of the stock market’s 14% decline year to date. It is notable that the value index was only down 3%, while the technology-heavy growth indexes are down 25%. As usual, the S&P 500, which includes both, splits the difference.

Chart of the Day

05/13/22