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Chart of the Day: Forecasting is Easy, Getting it Right is Hard

Samuel A. Kiburz, Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer Jan 25, 2024
10-year treasury yield going back to 2000, dotted, brown line is the forecast of rates

Contents

Today’s Chart of the Day has been around a while and is often in the back of my head when we see “forecasts.” In this case, the blue line is the 10-year treasury yield going back to 2000 and at that time, in the dotted, brown line, what the professional forecasts of rates were going to be for the next year or so. As you can see, they were more often wrong than right.
Chart of the Day

About the Author

Samuel A. Kiburz, Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer
Samuel A. Kiburz, Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer

Samuel serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Investment Officer for the Crews family of banks. He manages the individual investment holdings of his clients, including individuals, families, foundations, and institutions throughout the State of Florida. Samuel has been involved in banking since 1996 and has more than 20 years experience working in wealth management.

Investments are not a deposit or other obligation of, or guaranteed by, the bank, are not FDIC insured, not insured by any federal government agency, and are subject to investment risks, including possible loss of principal.

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