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Winning is Hard, Staying a Winner is Even Harder
S&P Dow Jones Indices has published their updated U.S. Persistence Scorecard. A mere 2.2% of actively managed U.S. domestic equity funds in the top..
Real Estate vs. Stock Market
Past performance is no predictor of future success, but it is interesting to compare the past performance of different investments. These charts show..
Sale and Dividends
There are two ways to make money in stocks:
100% of the Time
I think about this chart often during discussions with clients on having too much exposure to single stocks.
Real Estate Prices vs. Income
Real estate is unique since humans need a physical place to live and work. Economics says the price of those physical places is constrained by the..
Bond Length Matters
Duration describes the time it takes for a bond holder to get all their money back and/or the change in price for each 1% change in the interest rate.
S&P 500 Wins Again
This chart from an article in today’s Wall Street Journal shows the percentage of funds that underperformed the S&P 500 in the last 12 years. Again,..
Car Dealer Profits
I am reminded of this chart every time I drive by a car lot. Before the pandemic, financing and insurance profits made up 70% of the dealer’s..
Stay Invested
Below is a great chart from Putnam, which shows that over the last 15 years, if you missed the top 10 best days of market gains, your return would..
Vanguard vs. iShares by BlackRock
Since we use both Vanguard and iShares by BlackRock Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) extensively, one of my pleasures over the last few years has been..
The Market Response after Eight Days of Conflict
It’s hard to do commentary when in the morning, the markets are down, and by lunch they are level, and by the close they might be up, and vice versa.
Too Much Cash
In a compelling article by BlackRock, they make an argument that even though we are facing higher than normal inflation and turmoil, that fear is..
Today's Market Notes - Russian Edition
As with all things, patience is the name of the game in the long run. Below are three notes about today.
Rising and Falling Rates in Relation to Real Estate Prices
“A 1% decline in real interest rates should lead to a spike in home prices in certain cities in the U.S. ranging from 19% to 33%.” -Bloomberg (Feb...
On Our Minds
Winning is Hard, Staying a Winner is Even Harder
S&P Dow Jones Indices has published their updated U.S. Persistence Scorecard. A mere 2.2% of actively managed U.S. domestic equity funds in the top quartile for 12 months performance at the end of 2019 stayed ahead of three-quarters of their peers when measured two years later.
Real Estate vs. Stock Market
Past performance is no predictor of future success, but it is interesting to compare the past performance of different investments.
These charts show the value of $100 invested in real estate (red) and the stock market (blue.)
The chart above shows that over the last 15 years, the stock market was the place to be.
100% of the Time
I think about this chart often during discussions with clients on having too much exposure to single stocks.
Real Estate Prices vs. Income
Real estate is unique since humans need a physical place to live and work. Economics says the price of those physical places is constrained by the cost of the physical labor to build them.
Bond Length Matters
Duration describes the time it takes for a bond holder to get all their money back and/or the change in price for each 1% change in the interest rate.
S&P 500 Wins Again
This chart from an article in today’s Wall Street Journal shows the percentage of funds that underperformed the S&P 500 in the last 12 years. Again, passive indexes beat 85% of the active managers last year, and the majority have done so for 12 consecutive years. This is one of the reasons why we champion passive index funds.
Car Dealer Profits
I am reminded of this chart every time I drive by a car lot. Before the pandemic, financing and insurance profits made up 70% of the dealer’s profits. Now, due to price appreciation of their inventory, that percentage has changed. However, the dollar profits from financing and insurance continue to increase. Car dealers have become more like finance and insurance companies.
Stay Invested
Below is a great chart from Putnam, which shows that over the last 15 years, if you missed the top 10 best days of market gains, your return would have gone from 10.66% to only 5.05%.
Vanguard vs. iShares by BlackRock
Since we use both Vanguard and iShares by BlackRock Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) extensively, one of my pleasures over the last few years has been seeing each company try to outdo the other by lowering costs. As they continue to lower costs, they gather more and more investments. As referenced in a recent Bloomberg article, together they account for 64% of the ETF market as Vanguard is getting close to the size of BlackRock.
The Market Response after Eight Days of Conflict
It’s hard to do commentary when in the morning, the markets are down, and by lunch they are level, and by the close they might be up, and vice versa.
Too Much Cash
In a compelling article by BlackRock, they make an argument that even though we are facing higher than normal inflation and turmoil, that fear is driving investors to hold too much cash.
Today's Market Notes - Russian Edition
As with all things, patience is the name of the game in the long run. Below are three notes about today.
Rising and Falling Rates in Relation to Real Estate Prices
“A 1% decline in real interest rates should lead to a spike in home prices in certain cities in the U.S. ranging from 19% to 33%.” -Bloomberg (Feb. 23, 2022)
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